Agreed on 2010 but I'm torn on the 2011 thing for sure. I'm going with my biased gut in picking Ben, but honestly think all of them have about an equal shot. Ben has an advantage with bike knowledge, the others have experience that should have them up to speed in testing.
Not to speak for the fella in question, but Dani does only weigh 104lbs and is 5'2". That's a BIG advantage(pardon the pun). But also that Honda has been showing it's HP and reliability this year in more than a few races.