AFF donations where your mouths are

I can't believe there hasn't been a thread started.

I will cover one bet at the stated amount in each category. Reply this post. The loser donates the amount to the AFF. Anyone that wants to bet in other categories or bet other people, please add a new post and folks can jump in.

1) Hillary Clinton wins the election, $100

2) Democrats regain control of the senate, $100
(that is, Democrats are tied with/or greater than number of Republicans)

3) Popular vote total differential: 9% or greater, $50

4) Electoral college total, greater than 285 to the winner, $100

5) Utah flips (Hillary wins in Utah), $50

 

No point in AFF bets. After today America is devolving into planet of the apes. I'm adopting an orangutan and treating him like a god just in case.

 

Ton -- I got number 4. I think the winner will carry greater than 285. Or are you only on the side of the statement? In that case, I got <9% margin in the popular vote.
AFF needs YOU!

 

I'll take #5. While McMullin has really screwed things up, the left wing strongholds of SLC and PC won't be enough. Even McMullin will come out on top of Hillary.

 

i'm saying i believe the winner will do so with more than 285 electoral votes. So, you've got the popular vote one.

 

confirmed.

FWIW, i think you're right. it's just my crazy home state hail mary for the sake of amusement.

 

copy. I think the popular vote will be around 5% delta, but this year, it's a strange, strange world.

 

Just for fun..

I think popular will be closer than 9%.
I'm in for $50.

 

Already taken, mate.

If you are looking for one with slightly (emphasis slightly) favorable odds, it would be to take him up on No. 2.

 

I don't see either of these potential public servants working for me. I'll likely need to hold my money. Sorry, AFF.

 

You took #4, Electoral number based on this:

I'm taking #3, popular vote.

 

Nope. Read post number 5.

 

Lies, Damn Lies and statistics!

Ok, so you have #3.

Damn.

 

You know you can both take the bet. He pays once if he loses and you both pay once if you lose.

 

I'm glad you're a nurse and a not logician.

 

Me too! Money's better

 

A sixteen month, 215 page thread... and not a single person had $100 worth of conviction that Mr. Trump would win the election. Fascinating.

Since the east coast polls are closing, i'll close this as well.

And Jed, since no one else stepped up, i'll cover your bet too.

 

I will split my bet with you if you'd like. I did state that McMuffin would come out in front of Hillary. Doesn't appear that will be the case.